Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.061772 0.069789 0.077961 0.086887 0.096332 0.106003 0.116627
2025-09-28 0.049151 0.060948 0.073532 0.087821 0.103476 0.119995 0.138640
2025-10-05 0.044735 0.059494 0.075762 0.094732 0.115985 0.138833 0.165040
2025-10-12 0.037116 0.053292 0.071751 0.093860 0.119171 0.146858 0.179078
2025-10-19 0.032454 0.049884 0.070380 0.095473 0.124694 0.157087 0.195195
2025-10-26 0.028019 0.046221 0.068281 0.095865 0.128500 0.165118 0.208617
2025-11-02 0.024787 0.043704 0.067270 0.097287 0.133286 0.174085 0.222936
2025-11-09 0.021424 0.040651 0.065324 0.097355 0.136290 0.180855 0.234624
2025-11-16 0.017365 0.036204 0.061279 0.094573 0.135676 0.183244 0.241121
2025-11-23 0.013972 0.032292 0.057632 0.092041 0.135160 0.185585 0.247420
2025-11-30 0.012296 0.030749 0.057004 0.093222 0.139077 0.193076 0.259639
2025-12-07 0.010971 0.029599 0.056812 0.094888 0.143529 0.201160 0.272517
2025-12-14 0.010214 0.029400 0.058048 0.098591 0.150755 0.212852 0.290004
2025-12-21 0.008781 0.027889 0.057350 0.099722 0.154781 0.220752 0.303104
2025-12-28 0.009143 0.029604 0.061344 0.107133 0.166738 0.238242 0.327576
2026-01-04 0.007397 0.027214 0.059194 0.106205 0.168092 0.242872 0.336783
2026-01-11 0.006468 0.026229 0.059047 0.107929 0.172770 0.251503 0.350720
2026-01-18 0.005377 0.024720 0.058001 0.108347 0.175725 0.257998 0.362081
2026-01-25 0.004624 0.023793 0.057785 0.109865 0.180063 0.266161 0.375423
2026-02-01 0.003719 0.022309 0.056586 0.109937 0.182474 0.271918 0.385844
2026-02-08 0.002521 0.019687 0.053341 0.106967 0.180798 0.272532 0.389989
2026-02-15 0.001605 0.017356 0.050378 0.104261 0.179367 0.273376 0.394346
2026-02-22 0.001257 0.016653 0.050161 0.105524 0.183182 0.280750 0.406615